Country/sex baselines from WHO Global Health Observatory (2023). Dynamic survival adjustment: base + max(0, (age − base) × 0.3).
Smooth continuous curves
• BMI: polynomial, minimum at 22–23, −9y at 40+. Lancet 2016 Global BMI Collaboration
• Alcohol: neutral ≤7/wk, −0.2y per drink 8–14, −0.3y per drink 15+. J-curve excluded. NEJM 2018 GBD Alcohol
• Sleep: U-curve, optimum 7–8h. Sleep Medicine Reviews 2010
• Exercise / Smoking: JAMA Internal Medicine 2015BMJ 2004
Biological markers
VO₂ max JAMA 2018 · Grip strength Lancet 2015 · Waist/height ratio Nutrition Research Reviews 2010
Honest limitations
This is a heuristic model, not a clinical prediction. Adjustments are additive approximations; real mortality risk is multiplicative. Treat results as directional.
This tool uses published epidemiological data to produce illustrative estimates only. It is NOT medical advice. Consult your physician for personalised health assessment and screening recommendations.